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  • What Will Happen If America Returns to an Historical Savings Rate?
    Trader Mark,
    This is well thought out and carefully written. Thank you for sharing.
    Dec 31 14:13 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Prophet Bernanke Plans for Inflation
    Marc Faber has been talking about inflation for a while. Here is what he said in June. Had you bought commodities in June, Prophet Faber would have led you to 30 - 80% losses, depending upon what commodity you bought. And if you bought Japanese stocks, his other recommendation, uh oh...

    "By Patrick Rial and Lynn Thomasson

    June 24 (Bloomberg) -- Japanese stocks, Asian real estate and commodities are investors' best bets as faster inflation erodes returns in the rest of the world's markets, said investor Marc Faber, author of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report.

    ``Demand for commodities and oil will not vanish.'' Faber said at a conference in Tokyo. ``The shift in demand that drove up commodity prices is not going to go away.''

    Record prices for commodities have accelerated inflation around the world and lifted shares of raw material and energy producers. Oil more than doubled since the beginning of last year, while products including coal, rice and fertilizer also reached record highs in 2008.

    Faber, who told investors to buy gold as the metal began a seven-year rally, predicted inflation may boost Japanese share prices and Asian property will benefit as more people gain access to mortgages.
    Dec 28 11:14 am |Rating: +1 -1 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Artificial U.S. Dollar Rally Is Coming to an End
    kotika,
    The author is not comparing the Dollar to the Euro; in fact, if you read the article to the end, he admits the possibility that Europe will be worse of than the United States. He is advocating for Asian currencies, in the belief that global economic power is going to shift. That, in my opinion, is undeniable; even if the U.S. remains an economic superpower, as I believe it may (and hope it does), Asia, in relative terms, is undervalued compared to future potential. And some of their currencies (and I don't mean the Japanese Yen) are severely undervalued.
    Dec 19 11:15 am |Rating: +2 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • John Hussman: The Market Is Not in Uncharted Territory
    Thank you, John Hussman. I appreciate your analysis.
    Nov 17 16:54 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Stock Market: Is the Rally 'Real?'
    Simple, straightforward and cogent. Thank you.
    Nov 14 09:55 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Is Jim Cramer Right? Is Apple Really a Market Barometer?
    I think Cramer may have been speaking of Apple's predictive value. Simultaneous price correlation and the other tools you use would be useless to assess this metric. Instead, I would use a delay of one day and assess AAPL's price correlation with the SP, then 2 days and so on up to 5 days. Then I would do the same on a weekly chart. That is one way of measuring predictive value.
    Nov 09 08:47 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Buffett Likes to Be Early; Don't Rush to Follow
    Thanks, Devin. Nice research and analogy.
    Oct 19 20:21 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The Market's Disassociation with Reality
    "Let's face it, there have been plenty of market crashes, where the stock indexes fell by more than 40%, and we aren't even close to that."

    Really? Now that is really stretching the numbers.

    Check your math, sir. From peak to trough - from October 2007 to October 10, 2008, the SP 500 fell from 1560 to 844. 40% off of 1560 is SP 936. We fell 46% from peak to the recent trough.
    Oct 15 08:33 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Rally Now, Wheels Come Off Later - Faber
    Paul,
    Agree that the credit markets will present great opportunity. How do you invest in those -- as a small investor?
    Sep 26 12:08 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Alternative Buyers for Lehman (and Not Just the Usual Suspects)
    Scott, you're funny. Thanks for the laughs.
    Sep 12 17:02 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Real Disposable Income Up in Q2
    Why not just point out what's questionable about this article instead of making ad hominem attacks?

    Real Disposable income obviously increased as a result of the stimulus payments. How is that news? It would be nice if you had some predictions on what would happen to Real Disposable Income (RDI) AFTER the stimulus payments are done.

    Take a look at this graph from the Government BEA, people. It may be more helpful:

    www.bea.gov/briefrm/dp...

    And, yes, Mr. Perry, I do wonder about your motives.
    Aug 30 16:51 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • U.S. In Recession? Not So Fast!
    Sorry, I meant "you" would help your analysis...
    Aug 30 16:41 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • U.S. In Recession? Not So Fast!
    I think what Whidbey is trying to say is that there is a large and somewhat fishy difference between Inflation and the GDP deflator used for this past GDP calculation. Your would help your analysis by examining this difference and its effect upon your conclusions.
    Aug 30 16:40 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Why Apple Stock Is Poised To Go Flat - At Best
    1) Big numbers 2) Jobs mortality are the only arguments worth responding to.

    1) Big numbers - If Apple overtakes PCs as the dominant computers worldwide, this is not a concern.

    2) Jobs' health - In my view, this is only a short-term concern and only a serious concern for the next two years or so. If something happens to Jobs within the next two years (I pray that nothing does), I and every idiot out there will short Apple for one month or so. Then there will be others in Apple who will take over. There ARE others, who are very prominent within the company. Within the next two years these others will become more and more prominent without.
    Aug 29 10:52 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • This Market Needs More Volume
    Summer time is low volume time.
    Aug 25 10:47 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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