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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
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Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
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Weekly ETF Rewind: Caution Advised, Despite Powerful Rally
thanks!
Friday's Jump: Sucker's Rally
but liked your article very much, reminding me of the waiting hedge fund hordes spotting when to redeem and dump
though, after that, a larger more sustained (more than a month) bear rally could finally be let loose
we see! :-)
John Hussman: Holiday Update
if you could do a follow up re long rates danger etc, that'd be great
it seems the writes i respect re rates seem split between deflation keeping rates down, and fiscal irresponsibility forcing rates up
maybe a little of one first, then the other?
thanks again
Markets Historically Overbought: Dangerous to Enter New Longs Right Now
thank you much
Can Deflation Be Avoided?
also, i don't so much think deflation is coming, as that it's here, but just beginning to be really barely felt
just my thoughts :-) eventually, we'll see....
2009: Expecting a Massive Rally
also really like the author coming back into the comment thread (more than once) and responding
very nice thread - thanks!
Cramer Is Right about Ultrashort ETFs
- thanks!
Hedge Fund Redemptions May Crash Q1 Markets
not guaranteed that will happen, but certainly something to consider
even w/an obama stimulus coming up
we'll see i guess :-)
On Dec 22 08:48 AM birder wrote:
> There is quite a lot of negative criticism of this post here, but
> I am not too sure that all of it is justified. I do believe he did
> mention 1st quarter withdrawals. That does allow sufficient time
> for a 45 day notice. Certainly, there have already been plenty of
> hedge fund withdrawals, but the point here is that as bad as everything
> is, the Madoff affair might very well make a few people wonder whether
> their money is safe anywhere other than under their matress. It makes
> me wonder that. I believe I read that Madoff is going to bankrupt
> the SIPC fund. Sort of makes one wonder whether one should remove
> ones funds from every brokerage account out there.
Interpreting the Cumulative Adjusted NYSE TICK
Stock Market Rally: Is This It?
U.S. Dollar: The Trade of the Decade
i've always felt (since i started thinking about currencies, not that long ago) that we (small investors/traders) were pawns and witnesses to the first ever global chess match
and much as i lean w/ron paul, that the fed is our main problem domestically, the fed is the dollar (or some currency of our own) and the real battle was between the dollar and the other world currencies
something of what you say speaks to me as bearing a bit of truth
we'll see :-)
ps - doesn't mean i think gold/silver will end up tanking; after all, who has the most gold reserves in the world, the u.s. (us)
Save the Bailout Drama
Why AIG Gets Billions While GM Gets Scorn
The Problem with GLD and SLV ETFs
not because you may or may not be wrong, but simply 'cause it's great to look back, re-evaluate, and adjust as necessary, ie, it's fun and useful
though i disagree re gold's eventual perceived value, and though i agree re gold's probable price retreat during this time of heavy deflation...
i'd mostly, at this point, question your accuracy re central banks' selling off their gold, i had thought this had abated for now, and have read several acct's of china, russia, and others, increasing their gold reserves
and finally, as an insurance, any insurance, that one hopes never to use, and otherwise seems a waste to spend on, why is it the united states has always maintained its lead in % of gold kept?
in a spot peak crisis, missiles and gold do speak to the world, strongly, in a language clearly understood by all, in regard to any "backing" our country may need
either way, looking fwd to your other follow ups on this topic
interesting stuff, thank you :-)
Are ProShares' New Leveraged Precious Metal ETFs Late to the Party?